The break-even formula explained
Break-even analysis determines when total revenue equals total costs, meaning you are neither making nor losing money.
The formula
Break-even Revenue = Fixed Costs ÷ (1 - Variable Cost Ratio)
Or in units:
Break-even Units = Fixed Costs ÷ (Price per Unit - Variable Cost per Unit)
Understanding the components
- Fixed costs: Expenses that do not change with revenue. Rent, insurance, software subscriptions, loan payments. You pay these whether you work 10 hours or 100.
- Variable costs: Expenses that scale with revenue. Subcontractor fees, materials, transaction fees, commissions. More work means more variable costs.
- Contribution margin: Revenue minus variable costs. This is what remains to cover fixed costs and generate profit.
Example calculation
Fixed costs: $3,000/month (software, insurance, etc.)
Variable costs: 20% of revenue (transaction fees, expenses)
Break-even = $3,000 ÷ (1 - 0.20) = $3,000 ÷ 0.80 = $3,750/month
At an average project value of $1,500, you need 2.5 projects per month just to break even.
Fixed vs variable costs for freelancers
Correctly categorizing costs is essential for accurate break-even analysis.
Common fixed costs
| Cost | Typical range |
|---|---|
| Software subscriptions | $100-500/month |
| Health insurance | $300-700/month |
| Liability insurance | $50-150/month |
| Coworking/office | $0-500/month |
| Phone/internet | $100-200/month |
| Accounting software | $20-50/month |
| Professional dues | $20-100/month |
Common variable costs
| Cost | Typical percentage |
|---|---|
| Payment processing fees | 2.5-3% of revenue |
| Subcontractors | 20-50% of project revenue |
| Project-specific expenses | 5-15% of project revenue |
| Platform fees (Upwork, etc.) | 5-20% of revenue |
Many freelancers with no employees and minimal expenses have variable costs under 10% of revenue, making their break-even calculation primarily about covering fixed costs.
Using break-even analysis for business decisions
Break-even is not just a number to calculate once. It is a tool for ongoing decision-making.
Setting revenue targets
Your break-even point is your floor, not your goal. Add your target profit (and salary, if not included in fixed costs) to determine your actual revenue target:
Revenue Target = Break-even + Profit Goal + (Salary if not in fixed costs)
Evaluating pricing changes
If you raise prices by 20%, how does your break-even change? With higher prices, you need fewer clients to reach the same revenue. Calculate the new break-even and compare.
Assessing new expenses
Before subscribing to new software or hiring help, calculate the impact on break-even. A $200/month tool increases your break-even by $200 ÷ contribution margin. Is the productivity gain worth it?
Seasonal planning
If some months are slow, save enough during busy months to cover fixed costs. Your break-even tells you the minimum cash reserve needed for a zero-revenue month.
Deciding when to quit your job
Before going full-time freelance, calculate your break-even. Can you reliably earn that much? Have you hit it for 3-6 consecutive months while still employed? That is when it is safe to leap.
